after the 2003 invasion of Iraq:a cross-sectional cluster sample survey.
Published by the Lancet, and published again on
line (October 11, 2006) by the John Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD.Prof
The survey consisted of doing a cross-sectional sample survey of mortality in Iraq.50 clusters were randomly selected from 16 Governorates, with every cluster consisting of 40 households.Information on deaths from these households were gathered. The
mortality rate had gone up to from 5.5 per 1,000 people to 13.3.This gives for
the period of the war an excess Iraqi deaths of 654,965, which corresponds to 2.5% of the population.Of post-invasion deaths, 601,027 were due to violence—extracted from article by jk.
The death rate is more than 500 people per day CNN states in their summation of this study,
at http://www.cnn.com/2006/WORLD/meast/10/11/iraq.deaths/.The CNN article is highly critical of the study.However, the method and actual numbers are published and the extrapolation therefrom is in accord to the
established methods of statistics.The very fact that the study was published
by a noted peer review science journal entails a very high degree of probability that the conclusions and evidence therefor
are essentially correct.The reasonable conclusion is that there was more U.S. media bias.
If the overall impact was used, the number of dead and unborn would exceed one
million.The method consists of taking the projected population from pre-war numbers and
comparing them to current count.This indicates the actual impact upon population
of our invasion of Iraq--jk.
The California skeptics recognize that each person counts as one.Though some may be more of a benefit to mankind, each person feels and suffers.To make so much of nearly 3,000 U.S. soldiers dying is to slight humanity, for 200 times as many Iraqis have died.This incredible waste was brought about through our political process.(We are not so sure that Gore and the Democrats would not have followed a similar policy, for they share to a lesser
degree the same IMF view of the world). The method of going to a few morgues and extrapolating from them has got only about one forth the
actual number. Many of the bodies don't end up in the morgue. This was not based on a study, with published
details, like the one above which appeared in the Lancet, nor was this figure subject to peer review.
The President deliberately lied about the death count by claiming 45,000 civilian deaths—part of the pattern
of saying what is expedient.
Iraqi official: 150,000 civilians dead
By STEVEN R. HURST, Associated
Press Writer Thu Nov
BAGHDAD, Iraq - A stunning new death count emerged Thursday,Iraq’s
minister estimated 150,000 civilians have been killed in the war — about three times previously accepted estimates.
Moderate Sunni Muslims, meanwhile, threatened to walk away from politics and pick up guns, while the Shiite-dominated
government renewed pressure on the United States to unleash the Iraqi army and claimed
it could crush violence in six months.
After Democrats swept to majorities in both houses of the U.S. Congress and Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld resigned,
Iraqis appeared unsettled and seemed to sense the potential for an even bloodier conflict because future American policy is
uncertain. As a result, positions hardened on both sides of the country's deepening sectarian divide.
Previous estimates of Iraq deaths held that 45,000-50,000 have been killed in the
nearly 44-month-old conflict, according to partial figures from Iraqi institutions and media reports. No official count has
ever been available.
Health Minister Ali al-Shemari gave his new estimate of 150,000 to reporters during a visit to Vienna, Austria. He later told The
Associated Press that he based the figure on an estimate of 100 bodies per day brought to morgues and hospitals — though
such a calculation would come out closer to 130,000 in total.
"It is an estimate," al-Shemari said. He blamed Sunni insurgents, Wahhabis — Sunni religious extremists —
and criminal gangs for the deaths.
of the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq, or SCIRI, said the 150,000 figure included civilians, police and the bodies of people
who were abducted, later found dead and collected at morgues run by the Health Ministry. SCIRI is Iraq's largest Shiite political organization and holds
the largest number of seats in parliament.
In October, the
British medical journal The Lancet published a controversial study contending nearly 655,000 Iraqis have died because of the
war — a far higher death toll than other estimates. The study, which was dismissed by President Bushand other U.S. officials as not credible, was based on interviews
of households and not a body count.
Al-Shemari disputed that figure Thursday.
"Since three and a half years, since the change of the Saddam regime, some people say we have 600,000 are killed. This
is an exaggerated number. I think 150 is OK," he said.
Accurate figures on the number of people who have died in the Iraq conflict have long
been the subject of debate. Police and hospitals often give widely conflicting figures of those killed in major bombings.
In addition, death figures are reported through multiple channels by government agencies that function with varying efficiency.
As al-Shemari issued the startling new estimate, the head of the Baghdad central morgue said
Thursday he was receiving as many as 60 violent death victims each day at his facility alone. Dr. Abdul-Razzaq al-Obaidi said
those deaths did not include victims of violence whose bodies were taken to the city's many hospital morgues or those who
were removed from attack scenes by relatives and quickly buried according to Muslim custom.
Al-Obaidi said the morgue had received 1,600 violent death victims in October, one of the bloodiest months of the conflict.
U.S. forces suffered 105 deaths last month, the fourth highest monthly toll.
At least 45 Iraqis were killed or found dead in continuing sectarian violence Thursday, with 16 of the victims killed
in bombings at Baghdad markets. For the fifth straight day, insurgent and militia mortar teams traded
fire in the capital's northern neighborhoods.
Al-Shemari, while not explaining the death toll estimate, was more precise about the government's increasingly public
and insistent demands for a speedier U.S. transfer of authority to Iraqi forces
and the withdrawal of American troops to their bases and from Iraq's cities and towns.
"The army of America didn't do its job. ... They tie the hands of my government,"
said al-Shemari, a Shiite.
"They should hand us the power. We are a sovereign country," he said, adding that the first step would be for American
forces to leave population centers.
Al-Shemari is a controversial figure and a member of the movement of radical anti-American cleric Muqtada al-Sadr.
Some U.S. officials have complained that the ministry has diverted supplies
to al-Sadr's Mahdi Army militia.
In August, U.S. troops arrested seven of al-Shemari's personal guards in
a raid on his office. The U.S. never explained the raid, but Iraqi officials said Americans
suspected the guards were part of a militia.
Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, who also has close ties to al-Sadr, told Bush in a video conference last month that
he would make renewal of the U.N. mandate under which the U.S. keeps forces in Iraq conditional on a rapid
handover of power.
Al-Maliki also said at the time that U.S. forces should clear out of Iraq's cities, according
to top aide Hassan al-Suneid. He said the White House agreed, although that was never confirmed in Washington.
Last week, al-Maliki rejected a demand by a visiting top administration official that he move to disband Shiite militias
by year's end. A senior al-Maliki adviser, who refused to be identified by name because of the sensitive nature of the talks,
said the prime minister told U.S. National Intelligence Director John Negroponte it would be suicidal for the Iraqi leader
to move against the heavily armed militias.
The militias are a key player in the sectarian conflict in Iraq, having taken to the
streets with extreme vengeance against Sunni insurgents and civilians after the February bombing of a Shiite shrine north
The militias and their death squads are the armed wings of rival Shiite political parties. One of the militias, known
as the Mahdi Army, is loyal to al-Sadr; the second, larger group is known as the Badr Brigade and answers to the SCIRI.
Al-Maliki's hold on power depends on the support of both political organizations and their fighters, hence his reluctance
to move against the armed groups.
He also has balked at U.S. demands for passage of a series of laws that would favor
minority Sunnis, a group that makes up the bulk of the insurgency that has been fighting U.S. forces and has killed
tens of thousands of Shiites.
Sunni members of parliament over the past two days have threatened to walk out of the legislature and take up arms.
They charge the Shiite-dominated government with refusing to meet their demands for a fair division of power and natural resources.
The dean of the Sunni politicians in parliament said Thursday there were attempts
by Iran to run Sunnis out of the country. Adnan al-Dulaimi then called Arab countries to support
Iraq's Sunni minority.
"There is a Safawi (Iranian) plan to root the Sunnis out of this country, and we are confronting it," al-Dulaimi said.
"We call on our Arab brethren to support us and confront this Safawi plan."
His political group has five ministers in al-Maliki's Cabinet and al-Dulaimi again threatened to pull them out of the
This is just one more example of how politicians—especially the Republicans--speak
like attorneys, advocates for their cause.Accuracy of statements are determined
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WAR MAKES MORE EVIL PEOPLE THAN IT KILLS—Immanuel Kant
The single greatest waste of human resources is war related activities.In the period from 1945 until 1985 the United states had consumed through its military expenditures enough to build
a second United States—from factories, roads to homes and consumer items.